Mosta vs Santa Lucia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mosta v Santa Lucia — Team-Based Signals
Mosta vs Santa Lucia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Mosta
MLTP
1-2
HT 0-1
Mosta
MLTP
1-1
HT 0-1
Santa Lucia
MLTP
1-0
HT 1-0
Santa Lucia
MLTP
2-2
HT 0-1
Mosta
MLTP
Mosta 1-1 Santa Lucia — Actual Match Statistics
Mosta and Santa Lucia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Mosta had 50% of the ball to Santa Lucia's 50%, shots finished 10-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Mosta and 1.00 for Santa Lucia.
What was the final score of Mosta vs Santa Lucia?
Mosta 1-1 Santa Lucia in the Malta - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mosta vs Santa Lucia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Lucia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mosta 31%, draw 30%, Santa Lucia 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Lucia), BTTS No went the other way.