FCSB 2-0 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
-15.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+11.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.98/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.21
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 3.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
307 Passes 334
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-3 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
02.09.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-0 HT 3-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
30.04.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
18.03.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
19.02.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
18.09.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
2-0
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB saw off Universitatea Craiova 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FCSB had 44% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 56%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FCSB and 0.83 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova?

FCSB 2-0 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FCSB 44%, draw 27%, Universitatea Craiova 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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