Universitatea Craiova 0-3 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2024

Universitatea Craiova
0-3 HT 0-1
FCSB
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 24% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universitatea Craiova v FCSB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
3.18/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.48
+14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FCSB
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.18 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 307
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.09.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-0 HT 3-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
30.04.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
18.03.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
19.02.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
18.09.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
08.05.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM

Universitatea Craiova 0-3 FCSB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
0-3
AWAY FCSB
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB ran out comfortable winners over Universitatea Craiova 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; FCSB found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 57% of the ball to FCSB's 43%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.50 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB?

Universitatea Craiova 0-3 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 33%, draw 30%, FCSB 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ BTTS Yes
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