CSMS Iaşi 1-0 Universitatea Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.93/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.08
-11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
04.09.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.09.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
23.03.2015 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
01.09.2014 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 2-0 HT 2-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
13.05.2013 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-2 HT 0-2 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
02.11.2012 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 4-0 HT 3-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
1-0
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
0.48 xG 0.40
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi edged past Universitatea Cluj 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Cluj at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.48 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSMS Iaşi had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 0.33 for Universitatea Cluj.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Cluj?

CSMS Iaşi 1-0 Universitatea Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 33%, draw 25%, Universitatea Cluj 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitatea Cluj), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
28 Jan 2024
15:00 Hermannstadt vs Botosani Analysis →
21:00 Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB Analysis →