Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 0
26.11.2023 Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
1-1
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Etimesgut Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye and Etimesgut Belediyespor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arnavutköy Belediye at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 56% of the ball to Etimesgut Belediyespor's 44%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Arnavutköy Belediye 1-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 41%, draw 30%, Etimesgut Belediyespor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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