Düzcespor 3-0 Denizlispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düzcespor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.32
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düzcespor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Denizlispor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Denizlispor Denizlispor 1-2 HT 0-1 Düzcespor Düzcespor S2-K
20.09.2017 Denizlispor Denizlispor 1-0 HT 1-0 Düzcespor Düzcespor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Düzcespor
3-0
AWAY Denizlispor
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Düzcespor vs Denizlispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düzcespor cruised past Denizlispor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Düzcespor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Düzcespor had 39% of the ball to Denizlispor's 61%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Düzcespor and 1.00 for Denizlispor.

What was the final score of Düzcespor vs Denizlispor?

Düzcespor 3-0 Denizlispor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düzcespor vs Denizlispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düzcespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Düzcespor 46%, draw 24%, Denizlispor 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Düzcespor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Düzcespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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