FK Partizan 2-0 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
2.02/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.90
+32% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.8 Crosses 13.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.57 xG 0.81
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
411 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
08.05.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
13.11.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
29.07.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
05.12.2021 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
08.08.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-4 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
2-0
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.24 xG 0.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
220 Passes 435
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan got the better of Novi Pazar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Partizan had 37% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 63%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.24 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Partizan and 0.33 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

FK Partizan 2-0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 53%, draw 24%, Novi Pazar 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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