Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 25%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.55/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
+25% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 66%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.7 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 232
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
01.04.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-2 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
02.10.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
14.05.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
21.11.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
23.07.2021 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
2.89 xG 0.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
282 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac beat Spartak Subotica 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 54% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 46%, shots finished 24-15, expected goals 2.89 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.50 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 45%, draw 29%, Spartak Subotica 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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