Carabobo 2-2 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.33/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.95
+16% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
22.9 Crosses 10.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.12 xG 0.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
464 Passes 201
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 6
29.07.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
16.04.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-2
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
0.89 xG 0.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
341 Passes 169
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo and Rayo Zuliano couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carabobo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Carabobo had 62% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 38%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.89 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.00 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Rayo Zuliano?

Carabobo 2-2 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 51%, draw 25%, Rayo Zuliano 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
7 Apr 2024
03:30 Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC Analysis →
23:00 Metropolitanos vs Caracas FC Analysis →