Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.37/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.09
+7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
19.4 Crosses 13.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 2.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
282 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.03.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.06.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
03.06.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0-2
AWAY Portuguesa FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC saw off Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Portuguesa FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 55% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 45%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.50 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 38%, draw 27%, Portuguesa FC 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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