Leganes 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.0
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
11%
5.4
X/2
14%
5.83
X/X
15%
3.54
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
12%
4.5
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
0.95/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
-27% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.1 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
277 Passes 245
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS1
27.06.2020 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
17.08.2019 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
09.04.2017 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS1
21.11.2016 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
14.02.2016 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
1.76 xG 2.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
337 Passes 245
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes and Osasuna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Leganes had 56% of the ball to Osasuna's 44%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.76 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leganes and 1.00 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Osasuna?

Leganes 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leganes 38%, draw 30%, Osasuna 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leganes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →