San Jose Earthquakes 6-1 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Apr 2025

San Jose Earthquakes
6-1 HT 3-1
DC United
📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

San Jose Earthquakes vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.92
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.64
6+ Goals
15%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
11%
5.39
X/2
12%
7.2
X/X
11%
5.9
2/1
7%
21.5
2/2
13%
4.48
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Jose Earthquakes v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +25%
1.55/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.20
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
21.9 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

San Jose Earthquakes vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY DC United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.09.2023 DC United DC United 0-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
02.05.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 HT 3-1 DC United DC United ABD
02.06.2019 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
20.05.2018 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 HT 1-3 DC United DC United ABD
24.09.2017 DC United DC United 4-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
03.04.2016 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 0-1 DC United DC United ABD

San Jose Earthquakes 6-1 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
6-1
AWAY DC United
3.59 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
270 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes ran out comfortable winners over DC United 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day San Jose Earthquakes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 44% of the ball to DC United's 56%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 3.59 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.67 for DC United.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs DC United?

San Jose Earthquakes 6-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated an DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 36%, draw 27%, DC United 37%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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