Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Inter Miami v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Inter Miami
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Inter Miami
ABD
Inter Miami 1-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Inter Miami and Toronto FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inter Miami at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Inter Miami had 67% of the ball to Toronto FC's 33%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.59 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter Miami and 1.00 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Inter Miami 1-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 58%, draw 23%, Toronto FC 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter Miami), BTTS No went the other way.