Toronto FC 0-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 Oct 2024

Toronto FC
0-1 HT 0-0
Inter Miami
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.89
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.06
X/2
15%
6.84
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.3
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toronto FC v Inter Miami — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +23%
1.41/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.43
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
14.2 Crosses 11.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.09 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
423 Passes 431
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3 HT 3-2 Toronto FC Toronto FC CONLK
18.07.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
21.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
19.03.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
01.10.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
21.08.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD

Toronto FC 0-1 Inter Miami — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
0-1
AWAY Inter Miami
0.90 xG 0.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
381 Passes 535
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Inter Miami edged past Toronto FC 1-0 away from home in the USA - Major League on 5 Oct 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Toronto FC had 43% of the ball to Inter Miami's 57%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.90 to 0.30.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toronto FC and 2.33 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?

Toronto FC 0-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 38%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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