Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.75/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.99
+24% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
15.4 Crosses 11.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Toronto FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.16 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
456 Passes 407
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
19.03.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
01.10.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
21.08.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
21.10.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-0 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
15.09.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-1
AWAY Toronto FC
1.38 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
453 Passes 533
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami saw off Toronto FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 47% of the ball to Toronto FC's 53%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Miami and 0.50 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?

Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 47%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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