Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.76/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
-6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
399 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.1 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.18 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
433 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
23.04.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
06.10.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
19.06.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-1
AWAY Charlotte
1.83 xG 2.11
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
614 Passes 246
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew and Charlotte couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 69% of the ball to Charlotte's 31%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.83 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.60 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?

Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 47%, draw 25%, Charlotte 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ BTTS Yes
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