Philadelphia Union 5-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
14%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
2.08/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.10
+8% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.8 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
5W-0D-1L
AWAY New England Revolution
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.74 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 Passes 396
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-3 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
09.11.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
29.10.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-1 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
22.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.05.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
17.07.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
5-1
AWAY New England Revolution
2.25 xG 0.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
382 Passes 394
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union swept aside New England Revolution 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 49% of the ball to New England Revolution's 51%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.25 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.67 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Philadelphia Union 5-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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