New England Revolution 0-3 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -37%
1.57/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.25
-20% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.3 Crosses 18.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
29.10.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-1 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
22.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.05.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
17.07.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
29.05.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
0-3
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.41 xG 2.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
279 Passes 438
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union cruised past New England Revolution 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Philadelphia Union made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 41% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 59%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.41 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New England Revolution and 1.83 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

New England Revolution 0-3 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 36%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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