Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
CF Montreal
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
3-4
HT 2-3
CF Montreal
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
CF Montreal
ABD
3-1
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
Toronto FC 5-1 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC ran out comfortable winners over CF Montreal 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Toronto FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Toronto FC had 51% of the ball to CF Montreal's 49%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.26 to 2.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toronto FC and 2.33 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Toronto FC 5-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 44%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toronto FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.