Austin vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
4-1
HT 1-0
Austin
ABD
4-3
HT 1-3
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
0-2
HT 0-1
Austin
ABD
3-1
HT 2-0
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
Austin
ABD
Austin 3-2 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics
Austin squeezed past Sporting Kansas City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Austin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Austin had 42% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 58%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.54 to 0.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Austin's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Austin and 1.67 for Sporting Kansas City.
What was the final score of Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Austin 3-2 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Austin 42%, draw 25%, Sporting Kansas City 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.