Minnesota United 2-3 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.84
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
5.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.69/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.13
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.7 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY DC United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 Passes 438
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
30.09.2021 DC United DC United 3-1 HT 2-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
28.04.2019 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
13.09.2018 DC United DC United 2-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
30.07.2017 Minnesota United Minnesota United 4-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
2-3
AWAY DC United
0.64 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
257 Passes 317
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United squeezed past Minnesota United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 46% of the ball to DC United's 54%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.64 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Minnesota United and 1.00 for DC United.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs DC United?

Minnesota United 2-3 DC United in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 46%, draw 28%, DC United 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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