Atlanta United vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlanta United v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
New York City FC
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Atlanta United
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
2-2
HT 1-0
Atlanta United
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Atlanta United
ABD
Atlanta United 2-2 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Atlanta United and New York City FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Atlanta United had 40% of the ball to New York City FC's 60%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.42 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlanta United and 1.67 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Atlanta United vs New York City FC?
Atlanta United 2-2 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 43%, draw 31%, New York City FC 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.