New York City FC vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
New York City FC
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Atlanta United
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
2-2
HT 1-0
Atlanta United
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Atlanta United
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
New York City FC 1-1 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC and Atlanta United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, New York City FC had 53% of the ball to Atlanta United's 47%, shots finished 24-18, expected goals 2.42 to 1.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New York City FC and 1.17 for Atlanta United.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Atlanta United?
New York City FC 1-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Atlanta United?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 44%, draw 26%, Atlanta United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York City FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.