Vancouver Whitecaps 4-0 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Apr 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps
4-0 HT 2-0
Toronto FC
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 29% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
13%
3.71
X/2
8%
11.65
X/X
14%
5.53
2/1
11%
23.15
2/2
5%
9.35
2/X
6%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver Whitecaps v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.92/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.92
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
24.6 Crosses 11.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Toronto FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 2.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 540
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
08.05.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
24.04.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
06.09.2020 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
22.08.2020 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
19.08.2020 Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-0 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
4-0
AWAY Toronto FC
2.49 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
388 Passes 377
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps cruised past Toronto FC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 50% of the ball to Toronto FC's 50%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.49 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.50 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Toronto FC?

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 54%, draw 25%, Toronto FC 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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