Columbus Crew 1-1 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Apr 2024

Columbus Crew
1-1 HT 0-0
DC United
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Columbus Crew vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.29
X/2
6%
9.3
X/X
8%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.05
2/2
12%
6.43
2/X
6%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Columbus Crew v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.71/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.62
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.8 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Columbus Crew vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
4W-1D-1L
AWAY DC United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
365 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2023 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.03.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
14.07.2022 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
01.05.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
31.10.2021 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.08.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-4 HT 0-3 DC United DC United ABD

Columbus Crew 1-1 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-1
AWAY DC United
0.64 xG 2.05
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
577 Passes 238
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew and DC United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Columbus Crew carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 67% of the ball to DC United's 33%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.64 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.17 for DC United.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs DC United?

Columbus Crew 1-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 55%, draw 21%, DC United 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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