New England Revolution 1-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Apr 2024

New England Revolution
1-0 HT 1-0
Charlotte
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

New England Revolution vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
9%
4.96
X/2
10%
6.32
X/X
8%
4.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.44
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.58/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.45
-10% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.6 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2

New England Revolution vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.39 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
310 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.02.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
17.04.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
20.03.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 3-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

New England Revolution 1-0 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-0
AWAY Charlotte
1.13 xG 0.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 444
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution edged past Charlotte 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; New England Revolution found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New England Revolution had 48% of the ball to Charlotte's 52%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.13 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New England Revolution and 1.25 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Charlotte?

New England Revolution 1-0 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 38%, draw 27%, Charlotte 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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