FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-2
HT 0-2
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-2
HT 1-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABDK
1-2
HT 0-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
FC Cincinnati 1-2 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls edged past FC Cincinnati 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day New York Red Bulls made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 54% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 46%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.69 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.00 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?
FC Cincinnati 1-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 38%, draw 30%, New York Red Bulls 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.