New York Red Bulls 2-2 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.93
2-3 Goals
32%
1.94
4-5 Goals
33%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
64%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.63/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.84
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.6 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
270 Passes 351
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 2-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
21.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
23.04.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
01.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
09.04.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
30.10.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-2
AWAY CF Montreal
1.87 xG 1.28
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
303 Passes 565
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. New York Red Bulls carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 37% of the ball to CF Montreal's 63%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.87 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.17 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal?

New York Red Bulls 2-2 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 66%, draw 18%, CF Montreal 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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