CF Montreal 2-2 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+10.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.20/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.05
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
16.6 Crosses 18.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
23.04.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
01.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
09.04.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
30.10.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
15.08.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
2-2
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.96 xG 2.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 12
384 Passes 358
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and New York Red Bulls shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 52% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 48%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 1.96 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CF Montreal and 1.00 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?

CF Montreal 2-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 41%, draw 24%, New York Red Bulls 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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