DC United vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Atlanta United
ABD
3-1
HT 1-1
DC United
ABD
3-2
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Atlanta United
ABD
3-2
HT 1-0
DC United
ABD
DC United 0-1 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics
Atlanta United squeezed past DC United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was DC United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, DC United had 54% of the ball to Atlanta United's 46%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.23 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for DC United and 2.17 for Atlanta United.
What was the final score of DC United vs Atlanta United?
DC United 0-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Atlanta United?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split DC United 45%, draw 25%, Atlanta United 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.