Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jun 2024

Inter Miami
2-1 HT 2-1
Columbus Crew
📅20/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.37
2-3 Goals
33%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
17%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.36
1/2
7%
21.45
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.8
X/1
9%
7.12
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
9%
5.86
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
16%
2.74
2/X
11%
12.65
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-9.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v Columbus Crew — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.14/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.36
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
13.4 Crosses 11.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.64 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 434
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
30.04.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.09.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
01.09.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
17.10.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-0 HT 2-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
12.09.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD

Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.08 xG 1.65
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
284 Passes 666
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami edged past Columbus Crew 2-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Inter Miami found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 32% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 68%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.08 to 1.65 — on chances, Columbus Crew could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew?

Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 33%, draw 32%, Columbus Crew 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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