Austin 1-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.6
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
7%
6.71
X/2
15%
4.7
X/X
10%
5.2
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
24%
2.84
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.6 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -27%
1.04/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.33
+19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
18.1 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.62 xG 2.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
328 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Austin Austin 2-4 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
09.04.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
30.10.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
27.08.2022 Austin Austin 4-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
19.05.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
16.09.2021 Austin Austin 1-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
1-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.26 xG 0.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 8
280 Passes 458
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
4 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austin vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin and Los Angeles FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austin had 40% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 60%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.26 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austin and 2.33 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Austin vs Los Angeles FC?

Austin 1-1 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Austin 29%, draw 23%, Los Angeles FC 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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