Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
3-4
HT 2-2
Toronto FC
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Nashville SC
ABD
Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC edged past Toronto FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Toronto FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 51% of the ball to Nashville SC's 49%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.03 to 0.82 — on chances, Toronto FC could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toronto FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Toronto FC and 1.33 for Nashville SC.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 44%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.