Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.01/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.93
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.8 Crosses 11.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Toronto FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.69 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 Passes 417
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.06.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
09.04.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
07.08.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-4 HT 2-2 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
19.09.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
02.08.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
24.06.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-2 HT 0-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-0
AWAY Toronto FC
0.83 xG 0.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
553 Passes 402
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC got the better of Toronto FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 57% of the ball to Toronto FC's 43%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.83 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toronto FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nashville SC and 1.67 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 50%, draw 25%, Toronto FC 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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