CF Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 27% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.42
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
11%
6.46
X/2
13%
4.8
X/X
13%
5.22
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
19%
2.94
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.06/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.28
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.5 Crosses 11.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.53 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
360 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
03.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-4 HT 0-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
10.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.08.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
26.09.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-3
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.76 xG 2.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
418 Passes 559
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew beat CF Montreal 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Columbus Crew found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 44% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 56%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.76 to 2.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CF Montreal and 1.83 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

CF Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 36%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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