Minnesota United 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 May 2024

Minnesota United
2-2 HT 1-0
Los Angeles Galaxy
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
USA - Major League – 2024

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.48
2-3 Goals
41%
2.13
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.7
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
11.85
X/1
15%
5.36
X/2
11%
7.5
X/X
8%
5.98
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
15%
4.31
2/X
9%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.76/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.61
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
23.0 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.86 xG 2.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
332 Passes 442
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 5-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
21.09.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3 HT 1-3 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
30.06.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3 HT 0-3 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
19.05.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
08.11.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 HT 1-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
19.09.2021 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD

Minnesota United 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
2-2
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.48 xG 1.03
41% Ball Possession 59%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
305 Passes 494
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
43 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Minnesota United had 41% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 59%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.48 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Minnesota United and 2.00 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Minnesota United 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 45%, draw 23%, Los Angeles Galaxy 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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