Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
1-3
HT 1-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
3-1
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
0-2
HT 0-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Philadelphia Union 1-2 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC edged past Philadelphia Union 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 58% of the ball to New York City FC's 42%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.23 to 1.29 — on chances, Philadelphia Union could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.83 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC?
Philadelphia Union 1-2 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 49%, draw 26%, New York City FC 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.