New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
1-3
HT 1-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
3-1
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
0-2
HT 0-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-2
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
Philadelphia Union beat New York City FC 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New York City FC and 2.17 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
New York City FC 1-3 Philadelphia Union in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 43%, draw 30%, Philadelphia Union 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.