FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
2-2
HT 2-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-1
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
FC Cincinnati 4-3 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati squeezed past Philadelphia Union 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 54% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 46%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.21 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Cincinnati and 0.83 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
FC Cincinnati 4-3 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 41%, draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 32%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.