Charlotte 2-2 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +37%
1.13/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
-32% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.4 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.99 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
348 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
10.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABDK
19.03.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
22.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
01.05.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-2
AWAY Orlando City
0.94 xG 1.88
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
221 Passes 598
79% Pass Accuracy 93%
13 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 42
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte and Orlando City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Charlotte had 30% of the ball to Orlando City's 70%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.94 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Charlotte and 1.20 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Orlando City?

Charlotte 2-2 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 45%, draw 24%, Orlando City 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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