FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
3-3
HT 2-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
2-3
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-4
HT 2-2
Chicago Fire
ABD
FC Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire squeezed past FC Cincinnati 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 63% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 37%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.53 to 1.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Cincinnati and 2.00 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
FC Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 49%, draw 26%, Chicago Fire 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.