FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire squeezed past FC Cincinnati 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. FC Cincinnati carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, FC Cincinnati had 63% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 37%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.53 to 1.56.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Cincinnati and 2.00 for Chicago Fire.
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Result & Final Score
FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 55%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.