Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
3-3
HT 2-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
2-3
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-4
HT 2-2
Chicago Fire
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
Chicago Fire 1-2 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati squeezed past Chicago Fire 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 51% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 49%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 1.05 to 0.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.00 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Chicago Fire 1-2 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 35%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.