Inter Miami 5-0 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.45
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
9%
9.09
X/X
16%
5.65
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
16%
6.54
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +31%
1.44/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.43
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
13.7 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 430
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City CONLK
21.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
06.10.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-1 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
10.07.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.05.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
5-0
AWAY Orlando City
3.07 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
389 Passes 428
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 20
4 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami swept aside Orlando City 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Inter Miami had 48% of the ball to Orlando City's 52%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 3.07 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inter Miami and 1.33 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Orlando City?

Inter Miami 5-0 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 44%, draw 27%, Orlando City 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Under 2.5
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