FC Dallas 1-2 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
11%
7.24
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.55
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.41/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.50
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.9 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.36 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2020 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-2 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
18.08.2019 CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-3 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
10.06.2018 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
23.07.2017 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
20.03.2016 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
21.07.2013 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
1-2
AWAY CF Montreal
0.93 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
494 Passes 387
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal squeezed past FC Dallas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Dallas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 55% of the ball to CF Montreal's 45%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.93 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Dallas and 1.00 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs CF Montreal?

FC Dallas 1-2 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 45%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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