St. Louis City vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City 2-0 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City got the better of New York City FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day St. Louis City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, St. Louis City had 45% of the ball to New York City FC's 55%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.77 to 0.51.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs New York City FC?
St. Louis City 2-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 38%, draw 28%, New York City FC 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.