Real Salt Lake 3-0 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Mar 2024

Real Salt Lake
3-0 HT 3-0
Los Angeles FC
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.83
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.65
X/2
13%
5.34
X/X
16%
4.72
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.54
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.42
+0% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.3 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.75 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 371
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
09.08.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake CONLK
14.05.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
05.09.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
07.08.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-4 HT 1-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
13.09.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD

Real Salt Lake 3-0 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
3-0
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.31 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
306 Passes 167
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake swept aside Los Angeles FC 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Real Salt Lake made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 59% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 41%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.31 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Salt Lake and 2.67 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?

Real Salt Lake 3-0 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 38%, draw 28%, Los Angeles FC 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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