Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Mar 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps
1-1 HT 1-1
Charlotte
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.37
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
9%
8.48
X/X
14%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.3
2/2
10%
6.11
2/X
6%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver Whitecaps v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.98/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.55
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.6 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 2.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
187 Passes 405
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.05.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-1
AWAY Charlotte
1.03 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
401 Passes 427
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps and Charlotte couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 49% of the ball to Charlotte's 51%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.03 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Charlotte?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 47%, draw 25%, Charlotte 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
3 Mar 2024
00:00 Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC Analysis →
00:30 Inter Miami vs Orlando City Analysis →
04:30 Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
04:30 FC Dallas vs CF Montreal Analysis →
04:30 Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →
04:30 St. Louis City vs New York City FC Analysis →