Charlotte 2-0 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.43
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
6.21
X/2
11%
4.9
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
19%
3.19
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.40/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.50
+42% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
18.1 Crosses 14.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.32 xG 1.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 440
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
23.04.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
06.10.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
19.06.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-0
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.68 xG 0.94
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
316 Passes 405
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte saw off Columbus Crew 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Charlotte found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Charlotte had 45% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 55%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlotte and 1.75 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?

Charlotte 2-0 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 36%, draw 28%, Columbus Crew 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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