Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
9%
8.54
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
11%
6.11
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.89/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.61
-2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
24.4 Crosses 19.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
359 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
26.02.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
21.08.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
05.06.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
30.08.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 4-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
08.07.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-4 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-2
AWAY Real Salt Lake
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
397 Passes 488
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake edged past Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 46% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 54%, shots finished 8-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.83 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 48%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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