Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Mar 2024

Sporting Kansas City
2-3 HT 2-0
Los Angeles Galaxy
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.21
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.39
X/2
10%
6.29
X/X
17%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
17%
3.98
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.36
-18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.3 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.89 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 471
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.06.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
12.03.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
05.09.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
07.08.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-2 HT 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
28.10.2021 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
05.07.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2-3
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.58 xG 1.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
26 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
434 Passes 470
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy squeezed past Sporting Kansas City 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Los Angeles Galaxy found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 48% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 52%, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 2.58 to 1.94 — on chances, Sporting Kansas City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.00 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 29%, Los Angeles Galaxy 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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